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Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-127/+108).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -127.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 138.9 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.This week, Kenneth Walker III is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 95th percentile among RBs with 4.2 targets.Kenneth Walker III has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 13.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among running backs.With a terrific 3.9 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III places among the leading RBs in the pass game in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Seattle Seahawks boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The Seahawks have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
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