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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -5-point underdog in this game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Kenneth Walker is expected by the projection model to place in the 98th percentile among RBs with 4.7 targets.
  • Kenneth Walker has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense this year (14.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (7.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • Kenneth Walker's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 87.7% to 80.6%.
  • The 49ers linebackers rank as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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