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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may go down.
  • With a sizeable 55.7% snap rate (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker places among the running backs with the highest volume in football.
  • The leading projections forecast Kenneth Walker to accrue 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Kenneth Walker's 75.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a meaningful decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 87.7% mark.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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