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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks

Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.3% pass rate.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Kenneth Walker is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.5 targets.

Kenneth Walker has been a more important option in his offense's passing offense this year (13.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (7.4%).

Kenneth Walker's 4.0 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a significant growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 1.9 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.

The Seattle offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Jets linebackers profile as the 9th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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