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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

Kenneth Walker III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (91.1%) vs. RBs this year (91.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.3 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the 10th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down a measly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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