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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kenneth Walker has accrued a measly -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile among running backs.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Kenneth Walker's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, notching just 6.07 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.92 rate last season.

Kenneth Walker's skills in grinding out extra yardage have worsened this year, accumulating just 7.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 10.93 rate last year.

The Falcons defense has given up the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 23.0) versus RBs this year.

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