Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 7:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
Kenneth Walker has posted a paltry -6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 2nd percentile among RBs.
Kenneth Walker has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among running backs, averaging a lowly 4.32 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 20th percentile.
Kenneth Walker has been among the weakest running backs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 3rd percentile.
The Detroit Lions defense has given up the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 22.0) versus running backs since the start of last season.