Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+111/-147).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -147.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus RBs this year, conceding 6.50 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in football.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.57 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-most in the league.
The Los Angeles Rams safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (77.3%) vs. RBs this year (77.3%).
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.