Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.4% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets defense has given up the 10th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (39.0) to RBs this year.
The New York Jets pass defense has not been good when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 8.11 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.
The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (73.6%) vs. running backs this year (73.6%).
The New York Jets defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down just 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.