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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Right now, the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The predictive model expects Kenneth Walker to notch 15.7 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Out of all running backs, Kenneth Walker ranks in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 66.7% of the workload in his team's run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 6th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 40.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may go down.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's group of DTs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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