Kenneth Walker III Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
The leading projections forecast Kenneth Walker to garner 13.5 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to run on 37.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast Kenneth Walker to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack in this game (57.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (71.1% in games he has played).
As it relates to run support (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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