Kenneth Walker III Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Kenneth Walker has been on the field for 58.8% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Kenneth Walker to earn 16.9 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 27th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-least run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per play.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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