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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 7th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 35.7% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Seattle Seahawks O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in run blocking.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year with their run defense.

The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down just 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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