Kenneth Walker III Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per play.
The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 30th-worst safety corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-least run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.0% run rate.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box against opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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