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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the most run-centric team in the NFL (46.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

Kenneth Gainwell's 22.1% snap rate this year reflects a significant regression in his offensive utilization over last year's 40.4% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.24 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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