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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a running game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 53.2% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 23.9% snap rate this year signifies a meaningful diminishment in his offensive usage over last year's 40.5% mark.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's rushing efficiency (5.05 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (84th percentile among running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.99 seconds per snap.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
  • This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has conceded a measly 92.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 5th-best in the NFL.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 4th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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