Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 5:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 46.2% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.
After comprising 10.7% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Kenneth Gainwell has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, currently comprising 24.7%.
When it comes to run-blocking (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 4th-best in the league last year.
Kenneth Gainwell has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).

Favors Under

The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per play.
Kenneth Gainwell's ground effectiveness has tailed off this year, averaging a mere 3.43 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.91 figure last year.
Kenneth Gainwell comes in as one of the worst running backs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a mere 2.14 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 11th percentile.
The Washington defensive ends rank as the 6th-best collection of DEs in football this year with their run defense.

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