Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.40 seconds per snap.
After making up 10.7% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Kenneth Gainwell has had a larger role in the ground game this year, currently taking on 26.9%.
In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the importance it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 4th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

Kenneth Gainwell's ground efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating just 3.47 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.91 mark last year.
With a very bad rate of 2.18 yards after contact (16th percentile) this year, Kenneth Gainwell ranks among the worst RBs in the NFL.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, New York's collection of DEs has been great this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the league.

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