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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Eagles are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.63 seconds per play.

After taking on 10.7% of his team's carries last season, Kenneth Gainwell has played a bigger part in the running game this season, now sitting at 38.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kenneth Gainwell's rushing effectiveness has diminished this season, totaling just 3.66 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.91 mark last season.

Kenneth Gainwell has been among the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.18 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 15th percentile.

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