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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to run on 51.9% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

The Philadelphia O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.

The Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 4.89 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kenneth Gainwell has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 41.1% of snaps vs just 28.2% last year.

Kenneth Gainwell's rushing effectiveness has diminished this season, notching just 4.01 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.91 figure last season.

The New York Giants defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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