Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kenneth Gainwell has been much more involved in his offense's run game this year (21.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.7%).
The Eagles O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding 4.50 adjusted yards-per-carry.
The Chiefs safeties profile as the 30th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.83 seconds per snap.
Kenneth Gainwell's 3.6 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a substantial diminishment in his running skills over last year's 4.9 rate.

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