Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+119/-157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a big 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles rank as the worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has had the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 4.37 yards-per-carry.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.