Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-108/-123).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.
The Philadelphia Eagles have elected to go for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 92 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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