Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 9th-most yards in the NFL (127 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.