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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 40.2% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in run blocking.

The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, conceding just 4.11 yards-per-carry.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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