Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-101/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 113 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 6th-best DE corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have used motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.