Kenneth Gainwell Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing TD

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 6:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+434/-988).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +437 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +434.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a big 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 4th-most run-oriented offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 48.7% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
Kenneth Gainwell has run for 0.33 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (78th percentile).

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-least TDs in football (0.57 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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