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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Kenneth Gainwell's 17.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 87th percentile for running backs.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has given their quarterback 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Kenneth Gainwell's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.5% to 49.5%.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (73.4%) versus RBs since the start of last season (73.4%).

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