Kenneth Gainwell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022

Updated Feb 12, 2023 5:26 PM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Kenneth Gainwell's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 76.3% to 82.2%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Kenneth Gainwell has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this season (5.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (10.8%).
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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