Kenneth Gainwell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 2:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kenneth Gainwell's 17.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for running backs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions safeties project as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Detroit Lions pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.

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