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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 137.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

When talking about air yards, Kenneth Gainwell grades out in the towering 95th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accumulating a massive 4.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing running backs: a colossal 6.54 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.

With a feeble 5.83 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (9th percentile) last year, Kenneth Gainwell stands among the leading RBs in the pass game in the league in the open field.

The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.4%) to RBs since the start of last season (78.4%).

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