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Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.When talking about air yards, Kenneth Gainwell grades out in the lofty 95th percentile among running backs last year, averaging a massive 4.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the league last year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.8 per game) last year.Kenneth Gainwell checks in as one of the worst running backs in the league at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a lowly 6.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 23rd percentile.The Packers defense has given up the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 26.0) vs. running backs last year.The Packers pass defense has shown good efficiency against running backs last year, giving up 5.30 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the league.When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's unit has been phenomenal last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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