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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in football (in a neutral context) against the Eagles defense this year, averaging 26.21 seconds per play.

Kenneth Gainwell has totaled a monstrous 3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Kenneth Gainwell's 14.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 9.0.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Kenneth Gainwell's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 82.1% to 87.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Eagles being a 3.5-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 55.9% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 33.5 per game) this year.

Kenneth Gainwell's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 3.94 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 5.75 rate last year.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 11.0) versus RBs this year.

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