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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Eagles, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Kenneth Gainwell has totaled a massive 5.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That might not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

The Philadelphia offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.60 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

Kenneth Gainwell has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, playing on 40.7% of snaps compared to just 28.2% last year.

Kenneth Gainwell's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, averaging just 4.87 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 5.74 rate last year.

With a lackluster 5.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (25th percentile) this year, Kenneth Gainwell places as one of the top pass-game RBs in the NFL in space.

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