Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kenneth Gainwell has accumulated a staggering 6.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This might not seem like very many, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Eagles grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.83 seconds per snap.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 31.9 per game) this year.
Kenneth Gainwell's 40.7% Snap% this season reflects an impressive boost in his offensive utilization over last season's 28.2% rate.
Kenneth Gainwell's pass-catching efficiency has declined this season, accumulating a measly 4.00 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.75 rate last season.

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