Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-100/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Houston Texans linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Kenneth Gainwell's 7.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 17.7.
Kenneth Gainwell has posted a lot fewer receiving yards per game (4.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).

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