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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-132/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has accrued a colossal 5.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 84th percentile for running backs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.5% to 50.1%.

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