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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+195/-265).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -770 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -265.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

Kenneth Gainwell has put up a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 76th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Kenneth Gainwell has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this season (5.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (10.8%).

Kenneth Gainwell has posted a lot fewer receiving yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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