Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Kenneth Gainwell's ability to grind out extra yardage has improved this season, averaging 6.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 5.58 figure last season.
The Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in football (41.0) versus RBs this year.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Kenneth Gainwell has been much less involved in his offense's pass attack this year (5.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (10.8%).
Kenneth Gainwell has accumulated a lot fewer receiving yards per game (5.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).
Kenneth Gainwell's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 76.3% to 66.7%.

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