Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against RBs this year, surrendering 6.89 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has struggled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 9.05 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in football.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
Kenneth Gainwell has been a much smaller piece of his offense's air attack this year (5.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.6%).

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