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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (42.0) versus running backs this year.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing RBs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 8.90 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 9.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 17.7.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has put up quite a few less receiving yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).

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