Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (42.0) versus running backs this year.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing RBs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 8.90 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Kenneth Gainwell's 9.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 17.7.
Kenneth Gainwell has put up quite a few less receiving yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).

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