Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency versus running backs this year, allowing 6.41 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: least in football.
Kenneth Gainwell has been much less involved in his offense's passing game this year (5.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.6%).
Kenneth Gainwell has totaled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).

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