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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Carries
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-153/+123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the most run-centric team in the NFL (46.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.
  • Kenneth Gainwell's 22.1% snap rate this year reflects a significant regression in his offensive utilization over last year's 40.4% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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