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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New England Patriots vs Houston Texans

Kendrick Bourne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 127.8 offensive plays called: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

With an exceptional 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Kendrick Bourne has been among the best wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

The Texans safeties project as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

While Kendrick Bourne has garnered 19.1% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in New England's passing offense in this week's contest at 12.0%.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots grades out as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

The Houston Texans pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54.8%) to wide receivers this year (54.8%).

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