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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

Kendrick Bourne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-164).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -164.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their standard game plan.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

This year, the deficient Cardinals pass defense has surrendered a colossal 68.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-biggest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Arizona's group of LBs has been lousy this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Kendrick Bourne's 24.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 50.5.

When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in the league this year.

Kendrick Bourne's 2.3 adjusted receptions per game this year conveys a noteworthy decline in his receiving talent over last year's 4.6 rate.

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