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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The Colts pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72%) to wide receivers this year (72.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Kendrick Bourne's 24.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 50.5.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • Kendrick Bourne's receiving skills have declined this season, notching a mere 2.3 adjusted catches vs 4.6 last season.
  • The Indianapolis cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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