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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Kendrick Bourne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 59.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

This year, the feeble Dolphins pass defense has conceded a monstrous 69.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Kendrick Bourne's 22.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 50.5.

When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in football this year.

Kendrick Bourne's 2.2 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a material decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 4.6 rate.

More Kendrick Bourne Player Props

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