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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Kendrick Bourne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Kendrick Bourne's 20.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 50.5.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Kendrick Bourne's 1.6 adjusted receptions per game this season signifies a material decrease in his pass-catching talent over last season's 4.6 mark.

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