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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

Kendrick Bourne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-220/+160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks rank as the worst group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

The New England Patriots have gone up against a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Kendrick Bourne's 19.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 30.8.

Kendrick Bourne's pass-catching performance tailed off this season, averaging a mere 1.7 yards per game vs 3.4 last season.

Kendrick Bourne's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 73.1%.

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