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Kendrick Bourne

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Kendrick Bourne has been responsible for a colossal 22.7% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has allowed the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (189.0) vs. WRs this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has not been good when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.22 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With respect to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.79 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Patriots as the 10th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.

While Kendrick Bourne has been responsible for 18.0% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of New England's passing offense in this game at 12.0%.

The New England O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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